How to Predict an MLB Player's Home Runs

Predicting baseball is hard, especially when it comes to predicting a player's individual stats. Here's how to make it easier. This article will tell you how you can predict a MLB player's home runs.

Steps

  1. 1
    Add up the player's home run totals of the past three years. If he hasn't played three years in the major leagues, use the amount that he hit the previous year to fill in the missing year(s). Confused? Here's what this means:
    • Let's say a player has played only two years in MLB, and his home run totals over the past two years are 21 and 24, and 24 was what he hit the previous year.
    • Use 24 home runs to fill in the missing year. So...24+21+24.
      Image titled Predict an MLB Player's Home Runs Step 1
  2. Image titled Predict an MLB Player's Home Runs Step 2
    2
    When you have the sum, divide it by three. So, let's take our two-year vet for example. 24+21+21=69. 69 divided by 3 is 23.
  3. Image titled Predict an MLB Player's Home Runs Step 3
    3
    Edit according to ballpark . If the player is moving to a deeper ballpark, take away 3 home runs. 23-3 is 20. If the player is moving to a more shallow ballpark, add 1 home run. 23+1 is 24.

Article Info

Categories: Baseball